Forex FAQ's (4)

How do I fund my account?
When trading the Forex online there are usually a few different ways to fund your account:
Credit Card - The fastest way to fund your accountBank or Cashier's CheckPersonal or Business CheckWire Transfer
What happens to my open positions at the end of the trading day?
Most online forex brokers will automatically roll forward all open positions to the next day's value date at the end of each business day.
How much money do I need to open an account?
The minimum deposit to open a trading forex account online with most trading companies is around 20 USD using a credit card. You might require to wire at least 2500 USD with most online forex brokers when wiring the funds straight from your bank account.
Can I place profit limit and stop loss orders?
Yes, they are strongly recommended. The stop rate is used as a backup to close the position when the market moves against it to protect you from further losses. When the market reaches this value the position is closed. The profit limit rate is used as a profit limit. When the market reaches this value, your position is closed.
How much am I willing to risk?
*What is my upside and downside potential?*What are the market conditions? Is the market volatile or calm?*What is the logic behind entering this trade?*When will “I” know if the assumptions/logic behind the trade is right or wrong?
Having answers to these questions is not enough. Being able to articulate a definite plan and then execute it is, in National Academy of Forex’s view, a necessary pre-condition for being a successful trader. Many are able to develop excellent plans yet do not have the discipline to carry the plans to fruition. Emotions get in the way of individuals being able to execute their trading strategies. Trading decisions are business decisions and should not be decided on an emotional basis.
What is the spot market and on what exchange is it traded?
In the Wall Street Journal, one can read quotations for the spot rate, forward rate, and options. At the spot rate, currencies can be exchanged within two days i.e. on the spot. The word market is a slight misnomer in describing Forex trading, since there is no central location where trading takes place. The bulk of trading is between 300 large international banks, which process transactions for large companies and governments. These institutions are continuously providing prices for each other and the broader market. The most recent quotation from one of these banks is considered the market's price for that currency. Forex trading is not bound to any one trading floor, but done electronically between a network of banks continuously and over a 24-hour period.
What is the difference between futures and spot trading?
When you are dealing in Yen or CHF in the futures market, you are buying a currency contract based on a forward date, dealing in standardised contracts made and traded on an exchange that is chartered and licensed to serve as a trading arena in specific futures contracts. Spot trading in the Forex market is different. A forward market is one in which people agree to trade a commodity at a fixed price at some future date. In the Spot market, the price in question is that for immediate delivery i.e. within two days. You can also think of spot trading as the money exchange (Bureau de Change or cambio) you have to deal with when you travel when exchanging one currency for another. Depending on the rate, one USD will get you so many Lire or Yen or GBP, because you are trading a pair of currencies, one for the other.
What is a "margin call?"
A Margin call is the liquidation of one’s positions due to an inability to meet margin requirements. When one’s account balance is no longer able to cover one’s minimum margin requirement one’s positions are closed automatically. Due to the fact that margin requirements are so low the Trader will not receive a margin call warning, but will instead be closed out automatically. Due to this policy, no client has ever lost more money than they had in their account, though it is theoretically possible. Were the market to gap at the same time your positions were being closed due to margin you could theoretically get a closing price much lower than the price you would receive under normal market conditions. Most trading platforms require a minimum margin requirement of between $2000 and $5000. This once again depends on the company you trade through.
Why a bull trend in chart is a bear trend in value?
Similarly, our use of words such as "up" and "down", or "bullish" and "bearish" are meant to intuitively follow or reflect the visual chart direction of trade of a currency, not necessarily its value against USD. In case of JPY, CHF, and CAD, their bullish trend in chart means bearish trend in value. For example, if we say, "JPY is expected to slide back down from 120.00 to 118.00," we mean that yen's chart movement pattern is to turn south while its value is to strengthen against dollar from the weaker rate of 120.00 to the stronger rate of 118.00. One would have to get used to it in order to elude the confusion, and one usually does in time.
What should I do if prices on my screen do not update?
Check your connection to the Internet, then your service provider and then try calling the company that you are trading through.
Can I deal over the phone?
Yes. Most market makers offer clients the option of dealing with their Dealing Desk either over the Internet or in the more traditional manner - over the phone.What is a trading session?A trading day (or session) starts at the open of the Asian and Pacific Markets at 12h30 (CET – Central European time) and ends at the close of New York market (NYC) at 11:00 CET the following day.
What is a profit/loss point value?
Pip or point value depends on the leverage or gearing of the investment. With most companies, the pip value is about $10, depending on the exchange rate and interest rate differentials between currencies.
Why is Swiss Franc called "CHF" on the Forex market?
Swiss Franc CHFGerman mark DEMBritish pound GBPJapanese yen JPYCanadian dollar CADAustralian dollar AUDChinese yuan CNY
What is the difference between Demo and Live Trading?
There is no difference except for the fact that a demo account uses fictitious money and the live account uses real money.
Do all of the units I’m trading of a particular currency get closed when I only want to close one unit at a time?
Yes and No. Only on some trading platforms can you choose the amounts in units of a currency that you want to liquidate or close at any given time. Once again, here you need to check with the company that you are trading through

United States dollar and the euro

Comparison of worldwide use of the U.S. dollar and the euro
Since the mid-20th century, the de facto world currency has been the United States dollar. According to Robert Gilpin in Global Political Economy: Understanding the International Economic Order (2001): "Somewhere between 40 and 60 percent of international financial transactions are denominated in dollars. For decades the dollar has also been the world's principle reserve currency; in 1996, the dollar accounted for approximately two-thirds of the world's foreign exchange reserves" (255).
Many of the world's currencies are pegged against the dollar. Some countries, such as Ecuador, El Salvador, and Panama, have gone even further and eliminated their own currency in favor of the United States dollar.
Since 1999, the dollar's dominance has begun to be undermined by the euro, that represents an equivalent size economy, with the prospect of more countries adopting the euro as their national currency. Quite a few of the world's currencies are pegged against the euro. They are usually Eastern European currencies like the Estonian kroon and the Bulgarian lev, plus several north African currencies like the Cape Verdean escudo and the CFA franc.
As of December 2006, the euro surpassed the dollar in the combined value of cash in circulation. The value of euro notes in circulation has risen to more than €610 billion, equivalent to US$800 billion at the exchange rates at this time.[1]

[edit] History

Spanish Dollar: 17th-19th centuries
In the 16th and 17th century, the use of silver Spanish dollars or "pieces of eight" spread from the Spanish territories in the Americas eastwards to Asia and westwards to Europe forming the first ever [citation needed] worldwide currency. Spain's political supremacy on the world stage, as well as the coin's quality and purity of silver, made it become internationally accepted for over two centuries. It was legal tender in Spain's Pacific territories of Philippines, Micronesia, Guam and the Caroline Islands and later in China and other Southeast Asian countries until the mid 19th century. In the Americas it was legal tender in all of South and Central America (except Brazil) as well as in the U.S. and Canada until the mid-19th century. In Europe the Spanish dollar was legal tender in the Iberian Peninsula, in most of Italy including: Milan, the Kingdom of Naples, Sicily and Sardinia, as well as in the Franche-Comté (France), and in the Spanish Netherlands. It was also used in other European states including the Austrian Hapsburg territories.

19th - 20th centuries
Prior to and during most of the 1800s international trade was denominated in terms of currencies that represented weights of gold. Most national currencies at the time were in essence merely different ways of measuring gold weights (much as the yard and the metre both measure length and are related by a constant conversion factor). Hence some assert that gold was the world's first global currency. The emerging collapse of the international gold standard around the time of World War I had significant implications for global trade.
In the period following the Bretton Woods Conference of 1944, exchange rates around the world were pegged against the United States dollar, which could be exchanged for a fixed amount of gold. This reinforced the dominance of the US dollar a global currency.
Since the collapse of the fixed exchange rate regime and the gold standard and the institution of floating exchange rates following the Smithsonian Agreement in 1971, currencies around the world have no longer been pegged against the United States dollar. However, as the United States remained the world's preeminent economic superpower, most international transactions continued to be conducted with the United States dollar, it has remained the de facto world currency.
Only two serious challengers to the status of the United States dollar as a world currency have arisen. During the 1980s, for a while, the Japanese yen became increasingly used as an international currency, but that usage diminished with the Japanese recession in the 1990s. More recently, the euro has competed with the United States dollar in usage in international finance.

Hypothetical single "true" global currency
An alternative definition of a world or global currency refers to a hypothetical single global currency, as the proposed Terra, produced and supported by a central bank which is used for all transactions around the world, regardless of the nationality of the entities (individuals, corporations, governments, or other organisations) involved in the transaction. No such official currency currently exists for a variety of reasons, political and economic.
There are many different variations of the idea, including a possibility that it would be administered by a global central bank or that it would be on the gold standard [1]. Supporters often point to the euro as an example of a supranational currency successfully implemented by a union of nations with disparate languages, cultures, and economies. Alternatively, digital gold currency can be viewed as an example of how global currency can be implemented without achieving national government consensus.

Arguments for a global currency
Some of the benefits cited by advocates of a global currency are that it would:
Eliminate the direct and indirect transaction costs of trading from one currency to another[2].
Eliminate the balance of payments/current account problems of all countries.
Eliminate the risk of currency failure and currency risk.
Eliminate the uncertainty of changes in value due to exchange-caused fluctuations in currency value and the costs of hedging to protect against such fluctuations.
Cause an increase in the value of assets for those countries currently afflicted with significant country risk.
Eliminate the misalignment of currencies.
Utilize the seigniorage benefit and control of printing money for the operations of the global central bank and for public benefit.
Eliminate the need for countries or monetary unions to maintain international reserves of other currencies.

Arguments against a single global currency
Many economists[Please name specific person or group] argue that a single global currency is unworkable given the vastly different national political and economic systems in existence.

Loss of national monetary policy
With one currency, there can only be one interest rate. This results in rendering each present currency area unable to choose the interest rate which suits its economy best. If, for example, the United States were to have an economic boom while the European Union slumped into a depression, this period would be eased if each could choose the interest rate which best fitted its needs (in this case, a relatively high interest rate in the former, and a relatively low one in the latter).

Political difficulties
In the present world, nations are not yet able to work together closely enough to be able to produce and support a common currency. There has to be a high level of trust between different countries before a true world currency could be created. Critics argue that a world currency would undermine national sovereignty.
A currency needs an interest rate, while one of the largest religions in the world, Islam, is against the idea of interest rate. This might prove to be an unsolvable problem for a world currency, if religious views concerning interest do not moderate. It is not, however, necessary for a Muslim user of such a banking system to either receive or pay interest, in much the same way that Muslims avoid the problem under the current system in the modern non-Islamic world (for example, through using Islamic finance). Although the central bank must set an interest rate, there is no compulsion for individual banks to do so, it is simply accepted practice in the West.

Economical difficulties
Some economists argue that a single world currency is unnecessary, because the U.S. dollar already provides many of the benefits of a world currency while avoiding some of the costs [3].
If the world does not form an optimum currency area, then it would be economically inefficient for the world to share one currency.
A world currency would not allow for adjustments by national central banks to accommodate local economic problems. A single currency can only have a single interest rate. However, different regions in the world, with varying rates of economic growth, may require different interest rates.
As an example, consider a hypothetical Country A that is a petroleum exporter and a hypothetical Country B that is an oil importer. If the price of oil goes up, this is an advantage for Country A, and a disadvantage for Country B. If the oil price goes up, this stimulates the economy of Country A; to avoid "overheating" the economy, Country A's central bank would support increasing the interest rate of Country A. At the same time, Country B's economy is damaged by the increased price of oil, and Country B's central bank would seek to lower the interest rate in order to stimulate the economy. However, Country A and Country B would be unable to do this if they shared the same currency.

History
Retail trading, is more structured than the forex market as a whole.[citation needed] While forex has been traded since the beginning of financial markets, modern retail trading has only been around since about 1996 . Prior to this time, retail investors were limited in their options for entering the forex market. They could create multiple bank accounts, each one denominated in a different currency, and transfer funds from one account to another in order to profit from fluctuating exchange rate. This was troublesome, however, because the transaction costs incurred were large due to the small quantity of funds being converted relative to the size of the market. This transaction type was at the very bottom of the forex pyramid.
By 1996, new market makers took advantage of developments in web-based technology that made retail forex trading practical. These internet-based market makers would take the other side of retail trader’s trades. The new companies felt that there was enough liquidity in the forex market, and eventually within their own customer base, to guarantee markets under all but the most unusual market conditions. These companies also created online trading platforms that provided a quick and easy way for individuals to buy and sell on the Forex Spot market. In addition, the companies realized that by pooling many retail traders together, they had the size to enter the upper echelons of the forex market, which reduced the size of the spread. As the business grew, the market makers were given better prices, which they then passed on to the customer.
Market makers got around this issue by allowing customers to inflate all movements many times over. In the world of online currency exchange, no transaction actually leads to physical delivery to the client; all positions will eventually be closed. The market makers are therefore able to offer high amounts of leverage. While up to 4:1 leverage is available in equities and 20:1 in Futures, it is common to have 100:1 leverage in currencies; some forex market makers offer up to 400:1. In the typical 100:1 scenario, the client absorbs all risks associated with controlling a position 100 times the capital they are putting up, and, given that the money is only being used for currency exchange and on the market makers’ books, the transaction can proceed.
Current spreads for the most common currency pair, EUR/USD, is typically 3 pips (3/100th of a percent). An equivalent trade using a bank account would most likely be between 200 and 500 pips, while an equivalent trade using cash at an exchange institution would be around 750 – 2500 pips.
Currencies are quoted in pairs i.e. EUR/USD (Euro vs. United States Dollar). Out of convention, the currency quoted first was the stronger currency at the time of inception.
Top 6 Most Traded Currencies
Rank
Currency
ISO 4217 Code
Symbol
1
United States dollar
USD
$
2
Eurozone euro
EUR
€
3
Japanese yen
JPY
¥
4
British pound sterling
GBP
£
5-6
Swiss franc
CHF
-
5-6
Australian dollar
AUD
$

Key Concepts Behind A Retail Forex Trade

Retail Forex Trading
As previously mentioned, currencies fluctuate relative to other currencies. Take two of the most common currency pairs, the EUR/USD (the price for Euros in US dollars) and the GBP/USD (the price for The Great British Pound in US dollars). If there is positive economic news in the Euro zone and negative economic news in the United Kingdom, it is very conceivable that the EUR/USD would go up in value, meaning it is now more expensive in US dollars to purchase one EUR, and that the GBP/USD would go down in value, meaning it is now cheaper to buy Great British Pounds with US dollars. In this scenario, the US dollar went up in value against one currency and down in relation to another. It is important to understand this idea that currency pairs move mostly independently from one another. Currency pairs with similar currencies on one side (like the USD in the previous example) can be similarly affected by news regarding the common currency, but the crucial concept is that they don’t have to be.

Retail Forex is usually highly leveraged
The idea of margin (leverage) and floating loss is another important trading concept and is perhaps best understood using an example. Most retail Forex market makers permit 100:1 leverage, but also, crucially, require you to have a certain amount of money in your account to protect against a critical loss point. For example, if a $100,000 position is held in Eur/USD on 100:1 leverage, the trader has to put up $1,000 to control the position. However, in the event of a declining value of your positions, Forex market makers, mindful of the fast nature of Forex price swings and the amplifying effect of leverage, typically do not allow their traders to go negative and make up the difference at a later date. In order to make sure the trader does not lose more money than is held in the account, Forex market makers typically employ automatic systems to close out positions when clients run out of margin (the amount of money in their account not tied to a position). If the trader has $2,000 in his account, and he is buying a $100,000 lot of EUR/USD, he has $1,000 of his $2,000 tied up in margin, with $1,000 left to allow his position to fluctuate downward without being closed out.
Typically a trader's trading platform will show him three important numbers associated with his account: his balance, his equity, and his margin remaining. If trader X has two positions: $100,000 long (buy) in EUR/USD, and $100,000 short (sell) in GBP/USD, and he has $10,000 in his account, his positions would look as follows: Because of the 100:1 leverage, it took him $1,000 to control each position. This means that he has used up $2,000 in his margin, out of a $10,000 account, and thus he has $8,000 of margin still available. With this margin, he can either take more positions or keep the margin relatively high to allow his current positions to be maintained in the event of downturns. If the client chooses to open a new position of $100,000, this will again take another $1,000 of his margin, leaving $7,000. He will have used up $3,000 in margin among the three positions. The other way margin will decrease is if the positions he currently has open lose money. If his 3 positions of $100,000 decrease by $5,000 in value (not at all an unusual swing), he now has, of his original $7,000 in margin, only $2,000 left. As discussed above, if you have a $10,000 account and only open one $100,000 position, this has committed only $1,000 of your money plus you must maintain $1,000 in margin. While this leaves $9,000 free in your account, it is possible to lose almost all of it if the position dives. On the other hand, if you have 5 positions open in a $10,000 account, you can lose only $5,000 because the other $5,000 is held in margin. However, this does not make it safer to hold more positions. The Forex market fluctuates so rapidly, that with shallow margins, you are much more likely to be closed out of your position and lose it entirely when it might have recovered from a temporary fluctuation if you had had sufficient margin to cover the variation. The more positions open at one time, the more risk the trader is exposed to.

Transaction costs and market makers
Market makers are well compensated for allowing retail clients to enter the Forex market. They take part or all of the spread in all currency pairs traded. In a common example, EUR/USD, the spread is typically 3 pips (3/100 of a percent). Thus prices are quoted with both a Buy and Sell price (e.g., Buy Eur/USD 1.2000, Sell Eur/USD 1.2003). That difference of 3 pips is the spread and can amount to a significant amount of money. (Note: the spread is only taken out at the beginning of the trade; this transaction cost is subtracted only upon entering the trade, not leaving it) Because the typical standard lot is 100,000 units of the base currency, those 3 pips on EUR/USD translate to $30 paid by the client to the market maker. However, a pip is not always $10. A pip is 1/100th of a percent, and the currency pairs are always purchased by buying 100,000 of the base currency, which is also known as the counter currency. For the pair EUR/USD, the base currency is USD; thus, 1/100th of a percent on a pair with USD as the base currency will always have a pip of $10. If, on the other hand, your currency has Swiss Frank (CHF) as a base instead of USD, then 1/100th of a percent is now worth around $8, because you are buying 100,000 worth of Swiss Franks.
If a trader with a $10,000 account on 100:1 leverage felt, after reading reports on the economy, that the USD was going to go up in value against the EUR and the CHF, he would Sell EUR/USD (thus selling EUR and buying USD) and Buy USD/CHF (buying USD and selling CHF). The transaction is all electronic, so the trader doesn’t need to have Euros in his account. On a large scale, the market maker can sell Euros on behalf of the trader, knowing that the position will eventually be closed and converted back to USD. Assume that the client sold 100,000 EUR/USD at 1.2000 and bought 100,000 USD/CHF at 1.2500. Seconds after this transaction, his account would read: Balance: $10,000, Equity $9,946. The loss of $54 is due to the transaction cost taken only at the entry of a position of 3 pips, which translates to $30 for the EUR/USD pair and $24 for the USD/CHF pair. With equity of $9,946 on 100:1 leverage with 2 positions opened, $2,000 is now held in margin, leaving the trader $7,946 in usable margin. Suppose the EUR/USD (sold at 1.2003) starts to move against the trader and goes up in value to 1.2013, while the USD/CHF (bought at 1.2500) starts moving for the client and also goes up in value to 1.2515. His account information will have changed but his balance and margin will remain unchanged at $10,000 and $2,000 respectively. His equity and his usable margin, however, will change to reflect the new market conditions. While for the trader, the platform will calculate this all automatically, it is important to see it step by step.
Beginning SummaryClient Account: XXXBalance $10,000Equity: $ 10,000Usable Margin: $10,000Used Margin: $0
Step 1: Client XXX places two trades.Sells 1 standard lot EUR/USD (100,000 worth of the base currency -- USD)Buys 1 standard lot of USD/CHF (100,000 worth of the base currency – CHF)
Balance remains: $10,000Equity: $9,946 (roughly, due to transaction costs of 3 pips each. $30 – EUR/USD transaction cost $24 USD/CHF transaction cost---the difference is due to difference in pip value)Usable Margin: $7,946Used Margin $2,000
Step 2: Market Conditions Change, with EUR/USD going up 10 pips (a 10 pip decrease in value to the client, since he is short EUR/USD), while the USD/CHF has increased in value by 15 pips.
EUR/USD pair has lost 10 pips, with each pip $10 so it has lost $100USD/CHF has gained 15 pips, with each pip around $8 so it gained $120The difference is now +$20
Balance: $10,000Equity: $9,966Usable Margin: $7966Used Margin: $2000
Step 3: Client closes both positions (by performing the opposite trade – Buying EUR/USD and Selling USD/CHF). He now has no positions in the market, and his money is no longer fluctuating with the market.
Balance: $9,966Equity: $9,966Usable Margin: $9,966Used Margin: $0

Financial Instruments
There are several types of financial instruments commonly used.
Forwards: One way to deal with the Forex risk is to engage in a forward transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of the trade can be a few days, months or years.
Futures: Foreign currency futures are forward transactions with standard contract sizes and maturity dates — for example, 500,000 British pounds for next November at an agreed rate. Futures are standardized and are usually traded on an exchange created for this purpose. The average contract length is roughly 3 months. Futures contracts are usually inclusive of any interest amounts.
Swaps: The most common type of forward transaction is the currency swap. In a swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not contracts and are not traded through an exchange.
Spot: A spot transaction is a two-day delivery transaction, as opposed to the futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a “direct exchange” between two currencies, has the shortest time frame, involves cash rather than a contract; and interest is not included in the agreed-upon transaction. The data for this study come from the Spot market.

The Difference between Spot and Futures in Forex
Before a description of retail trading, it is important to understand the difference between the Spot and Futures markets. Futures are generally based on contracts, with typical durations of 3 months. Spot, on the other hand, is a two-day cash delivery. While the Futures markets was created to hedge out risks and speculate on future market conditions, Spot was created to allow actual cash deliveries. Spot developed a two-day delivery date in order to give those transporting the actual cash a window of time to receive it. While in theory there still is a two-day delivery date imposed after a Forex transaction, this is effectively no longer used. Every day, at 5 pm EST (the predetermined end of the trading day) Spot positions are closed and then reopened. This is done in order to guarantee an unlimited timeline for delivery. For example, if a Spot transaction occurs on a Monday, the delivery date is Wednesday. At 5 pm on Monday, the position is closed and then immediately re-opened; now this is a new position with the close date of Thursday. This daily process allows an investor to hold open a position indefinitely.
Another important difference between Futures and Spot is how interest is credited. Each currency in a Forex transaction has an inherent interest rate attached to it. In the case of the US dollar, this is the Federal Funds Rate. This interest is added every single day whether the market is trading or not. Interest cannot take a vacation; money and its loaning value are still important even if the financial world has stopped dealing. In Futures, the interest is built into the price of the contract. In Spot, however, interest is not taken into account in the offering price because the Spot market is a cash market, not a contract market. There must be some mechanism for crediting interest, and various institutions have developed ways to do it. The most common method is to credit that day’s worth of interest at the same time they “flip” the position, or carry it over to the next day. This is important for later discussions and analysis because the transactions examined in this study had interest credited at the end of the business day at exactly 5 pm EST. If a position was held from 5:01 pm on Tuesday and closed at 4:59 pm on Wednesday, no interest would be credited for that day. If, on the other hand, a position was opened Tuesday at 4:59 pm and closed Tuesday 5:01 pm, a full day’s interest would be credited. This has interesting ramifications; traders who work intra-day, or “day traders,” often do not use interest for either gain or loss.

Majors
Majors are the most liquid and widely traded currency pairs in the world. Trades involving majors make up about 90% of total Forex trading.
The Majors are: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, AUD/USD and USD/CAD.
GBP/USD is the only currency pair with its own name. It is known as "Cable", which has its origins from the days when a cable under the Atlantic synchronized the GBP/USD rate between the London and New York markets. But there are also lots of abbreviations for other currency pairs such as:AUD/USD ... "Aussie"EUR/USD ... "Euro"GBP/JPY ... "Geppy"GBP/USD ... "Cable"NZD/USD ... "Kiwi"USD/CAD ... "Loonie"USD/CHF ... "Swissy"USD/JPY ... "Gopher"

Cross Rates
Cross rate is a currency pair that does not include USD, such as GBP/JPY. Pairs that involve the EUR are called euro crosses, such as EUR/GBP. All other currency pairs (those that don't involve USD or EUR) are generally referred to as cross rates.

Pips
A Pip is the smallest number in a quotation of a currency. For example if the quotation of EUR/USD is 1.2025, a pip is represented by EUR 0.0001. EUR/GBP has half pips, in that it is quoted to a fifth decimal place which can only be 0 or 5. This is because one pip in EUR/GBP is equal to four pips in its predecessor, GBP/DEM, and one pip in EUR/GBP would be too large an increment.

Pip Value
In order to calculate the pip value or how much is one pip, you have to know some additional information such as: trading size, leverage used, and of course the actual rate of the pair for which you want to calculate the pip value. For example in case of US Dollar, with leverage of 1:100 and trading volume of 1 lot, the minimum fluctuation point will be 10 USD. Other calculations for other pairs can be viewed here.

Spread
The quotation of a currency pair usually consists of two prices. The lower price (bid) is the price at which a market maker or a brokerage in general is willing to buy the first currency of a pair. The higher price (offer or ask) is the price at which a brokerage is willing to sell the first currency of a pair. The spread is the difference between the two prices. For example if the quotation of EUR/USD is 1.3607/1.3609, then the spread is EUR 0.0002 (or 2 pips). The more popular pair is the smaller the differences or spreads. Different brokerage firms have different conditions inc. spreads, for example spread list of over 55 currency pairs of North Finance brokerage firm.

CFTC warnings
The CFTC lists 9 warning signs for foreign exchange trading fraud:[5]
1. Stay away from opportunities that seem too good to be true
Always remember that there is no such thing as a "free lunch." Be especially cautious if you have acquired a large sum of cash recently and are looking for a safe investment vehicle. In particular, retirees with access to their retirement funds may be attractive targets for fraudulent operators. Getting your money back once it is gone can be difficult or impossible.
2. Avoid any company that predicts or guarantees large profits
Be extremely wary of companies that guarantee profits, or that tout extremely high performance. In many cases, those claims are false.
The following are examples of statements that either are or most likely are fraudulent:
"Whether the market moves up or down, in the currency market you will make a profit."
"Make $1000 per week, every week"
"We are out-performing domestic investments."
"The main advantage of the forex markets is that there is no bear market."
"We guarantee you will make at least a 30-40% rate of return within two months."
3. Stay Away From Companies That Promise Little or No Financial Risk
Be suspicious of companies that downplay risks or state that written risk disclosure statements are routine formalities imposed by the government.
The currency futures and options markets are volatile and contain substantial risks for unsophisticated customers. The currency futures and options markets are not the place to put any funds that you cannot afford to lose. For example, retirement funds should not be used for currency trading.
g. You can lose most or all of those funds very quickly trading foreign currency futures or options contracts. Therefore, beware of companies that make the following types of statements:
"With a $10,000 deposit, the maximum you can lose is $200 to $250 per day."
"We promise to recover any losses you have."
"Your investment is secure."
4. Don't Trade on Margin Unless You Understand What It Means
Margin trading can make you responsible for losses that greatly exceed the dollar amount you deposited.
Many currency traders ask customers to give them money, which they sometimes refer to as "margin," often sums in the range of $1,000 to $5,000. However, those amounts, which are relatively small in the currency markets, actually control far larger dollar amounts of trading, a fact that often is poorly explained to customers.
Don't trade on margin unless you fully understand what you are doing and are prepared to accept losses that exceed the margin amounts you paid.
5. Question Firms That Claim To Trade in the "Interbank Market"
Be wary of firms that claim that you can or should trade in the "interbank market," or that they will do so on your behalf.
Unregulated, fraudulent currency trading firms often tell retail customers that their funds are traded in the "interbank market," where good prices can be obtained. Firms that trade currencies in the interbank market, however, are most likely to be banks, investment banks and large corporations, since the term "interbank market" refers simply to a loose network of currency transactions negotiated between financial institutions and other large companies.
6. Be Wary of Sending or Transferring Cash on the Internet, By Mail or Otherwise
Be especially alert to the dangers of trading on-line; it is very easy to transfer funds on-line, but often can be impossible to get a refund.
It costs an Internet advertiser just pennies per day to reach a potential audience of millions of persons, and phony currency trading firms have seized upon the Internet as an inexpensive and effective way of reaching a large pool of potential customers.
Companies offering currency trading on-line will usually be located in different legal jurisdictions to you. Even if they display an address or any other information identifying their nationality on their Web site it may be false. Be aware that if you transfer funds to foreign firms it may be very difficult or impossible to recover your funds.
7. Currency Scams Often Target Members of Ethnic Minorities
Some currency trading scams target potential customers in ethnic communities, particularly persons in the Russian, Chinese and Indian immigrant communities, through advertisements in ethnic newspapers and television "infomercials."
Sometimes those advertisements offer so-called "job opportunities" for "account executives" to trade foreign currencies. Be aware that "account executives" that are hired might be expected to use their own money for currency trading, as well as to recruit their family and friends to do likewise. What appears to be a promising job opportunity often is another way many of these companies lure customers into parting with their cash.
8. Be Sure You Get the Company's Performance Track Record
Get as much information as possible about the firm's or individual's performance record on behalf of other clients. You should be aware, however, that It may be difficult or impossible to do so, or to verify the information you receive. While firms and individuals are not required to provide this information, you should be wary of any person who is not willing to do so or who provides you with incomplete information. However, keep in mind, even if you do receive a glossy brochure or sophisticated-looking charts, that the information they contain might be false.
9. Don't Deal With Anyone Who Won't Give You His Background
Plan to do a lot of checking of any information you receive to be sure that the company is and does exactly what it says.
Get the background of the persons running or promoting the company, if possible. Do not rely solely on oral statements or promises from the firm's employees. Ask for all information in written form.
If you cannot satisfy yourself that the persons with whom you are dealing are completely legitimate and above-board, the wisest course of action is to avoid trading foreign currencies through those companies.

Why retail speculators shouldn't be able to beat the market
The foreign exchange market is a zero sum game in which there are many experienced well-capitalized professional traders (e.g. working for banks) who can devote their attentions full time to trading. An inexperienced retail trader will have a significant information disadvantage compared to these traders.
Retail traders are - almost by definition - undercapitalized. Thus they are subject to the problem of Gambler's Ruin. In a fair game (one with no information advantages) between two players that continues until one trader goes bankrupt, the player with the lower amount of capital has a higher probability of going bankrupt first. Since the retail speculator is effectively playing against the market as a whole - which has nearly infinite capital - he will almost certainly go bankrupt.
The retail trader always pays the bid/ask spread which makes his odds of winning less than those of a fair game. Additional costs may include margin interest, or if a spot position is kept open for more than one day the trade must be "resettled" each day, each time costing the full bid/ask spread.
According to the Wall Street Journal (Currency Markets Draw Speculation, Fraud July 26, 2005) "Even people running the trading shops warn clients against trying to time the market. 'If 15% of day traders are profitable,' says Drew Niv, chief executive of FXCM, 'I'd be surprised.' "

The use of high leverage
By offering high leverage, the market maker encourages traders to trade extremely large positions. This increases the trading volume cleared by the market maker and increases his profits, but increases the risk that the trader will receive a margin call. While professional currency dealers (banks, hedge funds) never use more than 10:1 leverage, retail clients are generally offered leverage between 50:1 and 200:1, and even up to 400:1.[citation needed]

Definition
The balance of trade forms part of the current account, which also includes other transactions such as income from the international investment position as well as international aid. If the current account is in surplus, the country's net international asset position increases correspondingly. Equally, a deficit decreases the net international asset position.
The trade balance is identical to the difference between a country's output and its domestic demand (the difference between what goods a country produces and how many goods it buys from abroad; this does not include money re-spent on foreign stocks, nor does it factor the concept of importing goods to produce for the domestic market).
Measuring the balance of payments can be problematic because of problems with recording and collecting data. As an illustration of this problem, when official data for all the world's countries are added up, exports exceed imports by a few percent; it appears the world is running a positive balance of trade with itself. This cannot be true, because all transactions involve an equal credit or debit in the account of each nation. The discrepancy is widely believed to be explained by transactions intended to launder money or evade taxes, smuggling and other visibility problems. However, especially for developed countries, accuracy is likely to be good.
Factors that can affect the balance of trade figures include:
Prices of goods manufactured at home (influenced by the responsiveness of supply)
Exchange rates
Trade agreements or barriers
Other tax, tariff and trade measures
Business cycle at home or abroad.
The balance of trade is likely to differ across the business cycle. In export led growth (such as oil and early industrial goods), the balance of trade will improve during an economic expansion. However, with domestic demand led growth (as in the United States and Australia) the trade balance will worsen at the same stage in the business cycle.

Economic impact
Modern economists are split on the economic impact of the trade deficit with some viewing it as a loss in a fixed volume of trade and more radical Neoliberal voices who claim it is a sign of economic strength.
The traditional view opposes long run trade deficits and outsourcing for the sake of labor arbitrage to obtain cheap labor as an example of absolute advantage which does not produce mutual gain, and not an example of comparative advantage which does.[1][2][3]
Neoliberal economists claim that trade deficits are beneficial, noting the correlation between increasing trade deficits and increasing GDP and employment ([1]). An expanding economy means increased demand for domestic and foreign products. This rising demand promotes domestic investment as both foreign and domestic businesses seek to capitalize on the growth in demand. As the rate of growth accelerates foreign credit sources have greater incentives to invest in a growing nation's capital. The greater net inflows from abroad, the greater the trade deficit. Thus, GDP growth can be correlated with a trade deficit. However, these economists seem to ignore the fact the excessive borrowing may artificially inflate GDP.
Strong GDP growth economies such as the United Kingdom, Australia, Hong Kong and the United States run consistent trade deficits.
On the other hand, GDP growth may be due to excess borrowing to fund consumption and not an expansion of the base of an economy.[4] Developed nations such as Canada, Japan, and Germany typically run trade surpluses. China also has a trade surplus. A higher savings rate generally corresponds with a trade surplus. In 2006, the United States has its lowest savings rate since 1933.[5] Correspondingly, the United States has high trade deficits. The general decline of Great Britain is another example of the deleterious effects of long term trade deficits.
Some contend long term effects of the trade deficits are deleterious. Since the stagflation of the 1970's, the U.S. economy has been characterized by somewhat slower growth. In 1985, the U.S. began its growing trade deficit with China. In 2006, the primary economic concerns have centered around: high national debt ($9 trillion), high corporate debt ($9 trillion), high mortgage debt ($9 trillion), high unfunded Medicare liability ($30 trillion), high unfunded Social Security liability ($12 trillion), high external debt (amount owed to foreign lenders) and a serious deterioration in the United States net international investment position (NIIP) (-24% of GDP),[6] high trade deficits, and a rise in illegal immigration. These issues have raised concerns among economists and unfunded liabilites were mentioned as a serious problem facing the United States in the President's 2006 State of the Union address.[7]
Large imbalances may sometimes be a sign of underlying economic problems or rigidities. An example would be a situation where exchange rates have been fixed or pegged for political reasons at levels impeding a correction of a trade imbalance.
The trade deficit must be "financed" by foreign income or transfers, or by a capital account surplus. This includes inward foreign investment and capital purchases (stocks, bonds ect). An increase in net foreign liabilities tends to lead to an increase in the net outflow of income on international investments.
Those in favor of the trade deficit point to this financing as the source of the benefit. Instead of buying goods back, buyers in the receiving country send the money back in the form of capital. A firm in America sends dollars for Chinese toys, and the Chinese receivers use the money to buy stock in an American firm. Although this is a form of financing, it is not a debt on any party in America.
Such payments to foreigners have intergenerational effects: by shifting consumption over time, some generations may gain at the expense of others ([2]). However, a trade deficit may lead to higher consumption in the future if, for example, it is used to finance profitable domestic investment, which generates returns in excess of that paid on the net foreign liabilities (a situation that might arise if a country experiences an unexpected gain in productivity). Similarly, a surplus on the current account implies an increase in the net international investment position and the shifting of consumption to future rather than current generations.
However, trade imbalances are not always indicative of the smooth operation of the market given differences in international productivity and intertemporal consumption preferences. Trade deficits have often been associated with a loss of international competitiveness, or unsustainable 'booms' in domestic demand. Similarly, trade surpluses have been associated with policies that inefficiently bias a country's economic activity towards external demand, resulting in lower living standards. An example of an economy which has had a positive balance of payments was Japan in the 1990s. The positive balance was partly the result of protectionist measures that brought excessive profits to Japanese exporters.United States trade deficit
The United States has posted a trade deficit since the 1970s, and it has been rapidly increasing since 1997 (see chart below). The US trade deficit hit a record high of 763.6 billion dollars in 2006, up from 716.7 billion dollars in 2005.[3]
It is worth noting on the graph that the deficit slackened during recessions and grew during periods of expansion.



Milton Friedman on trade deficits

US exports in 2006
Milton Friedman, the Nobel Prize-winning economist and father of Monetarism, argued that many of the fears of trade deficits are unfair criticisms in an attempt to push macroeconomic policies favorable to exporting[4] industries. He stated that these deficits are not harmful to the country as the currency always comes back to the country of origin in some form or another (country A sells to country B, country B sells to country C who buys from country A, but the trade deficit only includes A and B). In fact, in his view, the "worst case scenario" of the currency never returning to the country of origin was actually the best possible outcome: the country actually purchased its goods by exchanging them for pieces of cheaply-made paper. As Friedman put it, this would be the same result as if the exporting country burned the dollars it earned, never returning it to market circulation.
Critics claim that Friedman's argument is equivalent to saying that it doesn't matter if you get indebted, because eventually you will have to pay the money back. The obvious counterargument is that once a significant debt has been accumulated, paying it back may be painful. Friedman's supporters retort that when the money returns, the demand for foreign currency will make the exchange rate better for trade deficit country.
Friedman's view is seen by many as ignoring the intergenerational or long run consequences of deficits, low savings, and borrowing to fund consumption. If country A has a trade deficit because of large imports of consumer goods, other countries accumulate cash from country A. That money can be used to purchase existing investment assets and government bonds within country A. As a result, the return from those assets will accrue not to citizens of country A but to foreigners. The consumption standard of future generations in country A may therefore potentially decline as a result of the deficit. In particular, Americans are increasingly paying taxes to finance the interest on federal bonds held by foreigners. However, a criticism of this argument notes that all transactions are win-win. In the case of foreign investment in American assets, it helps fuel American economic growth and keeps US interest rates low. This argument is more appealing in the case of foreign direct investment, and less obvious when foreigners simply purchase the existing stock of assets.
Friedman also believed that deficits would be corrected by free markets as floating currency rates rise or fall with time to encourage or discourage imports in favor of the exports, reversing again in favor of imports as the currency gains strength. A potential difficulty however is that currency markets in the real world are far from completely free, with government and central banks being major players, and this is unlikely to change within the foreseeable future.
Friedman and other economists have also pointed out that a large trade deficit (importation of goods) signals that the country's currency is strong and desirable. To Friedman, a trade deficit simply meant that consumers had opportunity to purchase and enjoy more goods at lower prices; conversely, a trade surplus implied that a country was exporting goods its own citizens did not get to consume or enjoy, while paying high prices for the goods they actually received.
Perhaps most significantly, Friedman contended strongly that the current structure of the balance of payments is misleading. In an interview with Charlie Rose, he stated that "on the books" the US is a net borrower of funds, using those funds to pay for goods and services. He pointed to the income receipts and payments showing that the US pays almost the same amount as it receives: thus, U.S. citizens are paying lower prices than foreigners for capital assets to exchange roughly the same amount of income. The reasons why the U.S. (and UK) appear to earn a higher rate of return on their foreign assets than they pay on their foreign liabilities are not clearly understood. An important contributing factor is that the U.S. has investment primarily in stocks abroad, while foreigners have invested heavily in debt instruments, such as U.S. government bonds ([5]). More recently, U.S. net foreign income has deteriorated, and appears set to stay in deficit in the future ([6]).
Friedman presented his analysis of the balance of trade in Free to Choose, widely considered his most significant popular work.

Physical balance of trade
Monetary balance of trade is different from physical balance of trade (which is expressed in amount of raw materials). Developed countries usually import a lot of primary raw materials from developing countries at low prices. Often, these materials are then converted into finished products, and a significant amount of value is added. Although for instance the EU (as well as many other developed countries) has a balanced monetary balance of trade, its physical trade balance (especially with developing countries) is negative, meaning that in terms of materials a lot more is imported than exported. This is part of an economic theory called dependency theory. If this theory is true, what would it mean for China and India's economic development?

Trading characteristics
Most traded currencies[1]Currency distribution of reported FX market turnover
Rank
Currency
ISO 4217code
Symbol
% daily share(April 2004)
1
United States dollar
USD
$
88.7%
2
Eurozone euro
EUR
€
37.2%
3
Japanese yen
JPY
¥
20.3%
4
British pound sterling
GBP
£
16.9%
5
Swiss franc
CHF
Fr
6.1%
6
Australian dollar
AUD
$
5.5%
7
Canadian dollar
CAD
$
4.2%
8
Swedish krona
SEK
kr
2.3%
9
Hong Kong dollar
HKD
$
1.9%
10
Norwegian krone
NOK
kr
1.4%
Other
15.5%
Total
200%
There is no single unified foreign exchange market. Due to the over-the-counter (OTC) nature of currency markets, there are rather a number of interconnected marketplaces, where different currency instruments are traded. This implies that there is not a single dollar rate but rather a number of different rates (prices), depending on what bank or market maker is trading. In practice the rates are often very close, otherwise they could be exploited by arbitrageurs.
The main trading centers are in London, New York, Tokyo, and Singapore, but banks throughout the world participate. Currency trading happens continuously throughout the day; as the Asian trading session ends, the European session begins, followed by the US session and then back to the Asian session, excluding weekends.
There is little or no 'inside information' in the foreign exchange markets. Exchange rate fluctuations are usually caused by actual monetary flows as well as by expectations of changes in monetary flows caused by changes in GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, budget and trade deficits or surpluses, large cross-border M&A deals and other macroeconomic conditions. Major news is released publicly, often on scheduled dates, so many people have access to the same news at the same time. However, the large banks have an important advantage; they can see their customers' order flow.
Currencies are traded against one another. Each pair of currencies thus constitutes an individual product and is traditionally noted XXX/YYY, where YYY is the ISO 4217 international three-letter code of the currency into which the price of one unit of XXX is expressed. For instance, EUR/USD is the price of the euro expressed in US dollars, as in 1 euro = 1.3045 dollar. Out of convention, the first currency in the pair, the base currency, was the stronger currency at the creation of the pair. The second currency, counter currency, was the weaker currency at the creation of the pair.
The factors affecting XXX will affect both XXX/YYY and XXX/ZZZ. This causes positive currency correlation between XXX/YYY and XXX/ZZZ.
On the spot market, according to the BIS study, the most heavily traded products were:
EUR/USD: 28 %
USD/JPY: 18 %
GBP/USD (also called sterling or cable): 14 %
and the US currency was involved in 88.7% of transactions, followed by the euro (37.2%), the yen (20.3%), and the sterling (16.9%) (see table). Note that volume percentages should add up to 200%: 100% for all the sellers and 100% for all the buyers.
Although trading in the euro has grown considerably since the currency's creation in January 1999, the foreign exchange market is thus far still largely dollar-centered. For instance, trading the euro versus a non-European currency ZZZ will usually involve two trades: EUR/USD and USD/ZZZ. The only exception to this is EUR/JPY, which is an established traded currency pair in the interbank spot market.

Factors affecting currency trading
See also: Exchange rates
Although exchange rates are affected by many factors, in the end, currency prices are a result of supply and demand forces. The world's currency markets can be viewed as a huge melting pot: in a large and ever-changing mix of current events, supply and demand factors are constantly shifting, and the price of one currency in relation to another shifts accordingly. No other market encompasses (and distills) as much of what is going on in the world at any given time as foreign exchange.
Supply and demand for any given currency, and thus its value, are not influenced by any single element, but rather by several. These elements generally fall into three categories: economic factors, political conditions and market psychology.

[edit] Economic factors
These include economic policy, disseminated by government agencies and central banks, economic conditions, generally revealed through economic reports, and other economic indicators.
Economic policy comprises government fiscal policy (budget/spending practices) and monetary policy (the means by which a government's central bank influences the supply and "cost" of money, which is reflected by the level of interest rates).
Economic conditions include:
Government budget deficits or surpluses: The market usually reacts negatively to widening government budget deficits, and positively to narrowing budget deficits. The impact is reflected in the value of a country's currency.
Balance of trade levels and trends: The trade flow between countries illustrates the demand for goods and services, which in turn indicates demand for a country's currency to conduct trade. Surpluses and deficits in trade of goods and services reflect the competitiveness of a nation's economy. For example, trade deficits may have a negative impact on a nation's currency.
Inflation levels and trends: Typically, a currency will lose value if there is a high level of inflation in the country or if inflation levels are perceived to be rising. This is because inflation erodes purchasing power, thus demand, for that particular currency.
Economic growth and health: Reports such as gross domestic product (GDP), employment levels, retail sales, capacity utilization and others, detail the levels of a country's economic growth and health. Generally, the more healthy and robust a country's economy, the better its currency will perform, and the more demand for it there will be.

[edit] Political conditions
Internal, regional, and international political conditions and events can have a profound effect on currency markets.
For instance, political upheaval and instability can have a negative impact on a nation's economy. The rise of a political faction that is perceived to be fiscally responsible can have the opposite effect. Also, events in one country in a region may spur positive or negative interest in a neighboring country and, in the process, affect its currency.

[edit] Market psychology
Market psychology and trader perceptions influence the foreign exchange market in a variety of ways:
Flights to quality: Unsettling international events can lead to a "flight to quality," with investors seeking a "safe haven". There will be a greater demand, thus a higher price, for currencies perceived as stronger over their relatively weaker counterparts.
Long-term trends: Currency markets often move in visible long-term trends. Although currencies do not have an annual growing season like physical commodities, business cycles do make themselves felt. Cycle analysis looks at longer-term price trends that may rise from economic or political trends. [4]
"Buy the rumor, sell the fact:" This market truism can apply to many currency situations. It is the tendency for the price of a currency to reflect the impact of a particular action before it occurs and, when the anticipated event comes to pass, react in exactly the opposite direction. This may also be referred to as a market being "oversold" or "overbought".[5] To buy the rumor or sell the fact can also be an example of the cognitive bias known as anchoring, when investors focus too much on the relevance of outside events to currency prices.
Economic numbers: While economic numbers can certainly reflect economic policy, some reports and numbers take on a talisman-like effect: the number itself becomes important to market psychology and may have an immediate impact on short-term market moves. "What to watch" can change over time. In recent years, for example, money supply, employment, trade balance figures and inflation numbers have all taken turns in the spotlight.
Technical trading considerations: As in other markets, the accumulated price movements in a currency pair such as EUR/USD can form patterns that may be recognized and utilized by traders for the purpose of entering and exiting the market, leading to short-term fluctuations in price. Many traders study price charts in order to identify such patterns. [6]

Algorithmic trading in forex
Electronic trading is growing in the FX market, and algorithmic trading is becoming much more common. There is much confusion about the technique. According to financial consultancy Celent estimates, by 2008 up to 25% of all trades by volume will be executed using algorithm, up from about 18% in 2005.

Financial instruments
There are several types of financial instruments commonly used.
Spot: A spot transaction is a two-day delivery transaction, as opposed to the futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a “direct exchange” between two currencies, has the shortest time frame, involves cash rather than a contract; and interest is not included in the agreed-upon transaction. The data for this study come from the spot market. Spot has the largest share by volume in FX transactions among all instruments.
Forward transaction: One way to deal with the Forex risk is to engage in a forward transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of the trade can be a few days, months or years.
Futures: Foreign currency futures are forward transactions with standard contract sizes and maturity dates — for example, 500,000 British pounds for next November at an agreed rate. Futures are standardized and are usually traded on an exchange created for this purpose. The average contract length is roughly 3 months. Futures contracts are usually inclusive of any interest amounts.
Swap: The most common type of forward transaction is the currency swap. In a swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not standardized contracts and are not traded through an exchange.
Options: A foreign exchange option (commonly shortened to just FX option) is a derivative where the owner has the right but not the obligation to exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency at a pre-agreed exchange rate on a specified date. The FX options market is the deepest, largest and most liquid market for options of any kind in the world.

Speculation
Controversy about currency speculators and their effect on currency devaluations and national economies recurs regularly. Nevertheless, many economists (e.g. Milton Friedman) have argued that speculators perform the important function of providing a market for hedgers and transferring risk from those people who don't wish to bear it, to those who do. Other economists (e.g. Joseph Stiglitz) however, may consider this argument to be based more on politics and a free market philosophy than on economics.
Large hedge funds and other well capitalized "position traders" are the main professional speculators.
Currency speculation is considered a highly suspect activity in many countries. While investment in traditional financial instruments like bonds or stocks often is considered to contribute positively to economic growth by providing capital, currency speculation does not, according to this view; it is simply gambling, that often interferes with economic policy. For example, in 1992, currency speculation forced the Central Bank of Sweden to raise interest rates for a few days to 150% per annum, and later to devalue the krona. Former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad is one well known proponent of this view. He blamed the devaluation of the Malaysian ringgit in 1997 on George Soros and other speculators.[7]
Gregory Millman reports on an opposing view, comparing speculators to "vigilantes" who simply help "enforce" international agreements and anticipate the effects of basic economic "laws" in order to profit.
In this view, countries may develop unsustainable financial bubbles or otherwise mishandle their national economies, and forex speculators only made the inevitable collapse happen sooner. A relatively quick collapse might even be preferable to continued economic mishandling. Mahathir Mohamad and other critics of speculation are viewed as trying to deflect the blame from themselves for having caused the unsustainable economic conditions.

Market participants
Financial markets

Top 10 Currency Traders
% of overall volume, May 2006
Source: Euromoney FX survey[3]
Rank
Name
% of volume
1
Deutsche Bank
19.26
2
UBS AG
11.86
3
Citigroup
10.39
4
Barclays Capital
6.61
5
Royal Bank of Scotland
6.43
6
Goldman Sachs
5.25
7
HSBC
5.04
8
Bank of America
3.97
9
JPMorgan Chase
3.89
10
Merrill Lynch
3.68
Unlike a stock market, where all participants have access to the same prices, the forex market is divided into levels of access. At the top is the inter-bank market, which is made up of the largest investment banking firms. Within the inter-bank market, spreads, which are the difference between the bid and ask prices, are razor sharp and usually unavailable, and not known to players outside the inner circle. As you descend the levels of access, the difference between the bid and ask prices widens. This is due to volume. If a trader can guarantee large numbers of transactions for large amounts, they can demand a smaller difference between the bid and ask price, which is referred to as a better spread. The levels of access that make up the forex market are determined by the size of the “line” (the amount of money with which they are trading). The top-tier inter-bank market accounts for 53% of all transactions. After that there are usually smaller investment banks, followed by large multi-national corporations (which need to hedge risk and pay employees in different countries), large hedge funds, and even some of the retail forex market makers. According to Galati and Melvin, “Pension funds, insurance companies, mutual funds, and other institutional investors have played an increasingly important role in financial markets in general, and in FX markets in particular, since the early 2000s.” (2004) In addition, he notes, “Hedge funds have grown markedly over the 2001–2004 period in terms of both number and overall size” Central banks also participate in the forex market to align currencies to their economic needs.

[edit] Banks
The interbank market caters for both the majority of commercial turnover and large amounts of speculative trading every day. A large bank may trade billions of dollars daily. Some of this trading is undertaken on behalf of customers, but much is conducted by proprietary desks, trading for the bank's own account.
Until recently, foreign exchange brokers did large amounts of business, facilitating interbank trading and matching anonymous counterparts for small fees. Today, however, much of this business has moved on to more efficient electronic systems, such as EBS (now owned by ICAP), Reuters Dealing 3000 Matching (D2), the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Bloomberg, and TradeBook(R). The broker squawk box lets traders listen in on ongoing interbank trading and is heard in most trading rooms, but turnover is noticeably smaller than just a few years ago.

[edit] Commercial companies
An important part of this market comes from the financial activities of companies seeking foreign exchange to pay for goods or services. Commercial companies often trade fairly small amounts compared to those of banks or speculators, and their trades often have little short term impact on market rates. Nevertheless, trade flows are an important factor in the long-term direction of a currency's exchange rate. Some multinational companies can have an unpredictable impact when very large positions are covered due to exposures that are not widely known by other market participants.

[edit] Central banks
National central banks play an important role in the foreign exchange markets. They try to control the money supply, inflation, and/or interest rates and often have official or unofficial target rates for their currencies. They can use their often substantial foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the market. Milton Friedman argued that the best stabilization strategy would be for central banks to buy when the exchange rate is too low, and to sell when the rate is too high — that is, to trade for a profit based on their more precise information. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of central bank "stabilizing speculation" is doubtful because central banks do not go bankrupt if they make large losses, like other traders would, and there is no convincing evidence that they do make a profit trading.
The mere expectation or rumor of central bank intervention might be enough to stabilize a currency, but aggressive intervention might be used several times each year in countries with a dirty float currency regime. Central banks do not always achieve their objectives, however. The combined resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank. Several scenarios of this nature were seen in the 1992–93 ERM collapse, and in more recent times in Southeast Asia.

[edit] Investment management firms
Investment management firms (who typically manage large accounts on behalf of customers such as pension funds and endowments) use the foreign exchange market to facilitate transactions in foreign securities. For example, an investment manager with an international equity portfolio will need to buy and sell foreign currencies in the spot market in order to pay for purchases of foreign equities. Since the forex transactions are secondary to the actual investment decision, they are not seen as speculative or aimed at profit-maximization.
Some investment management firms also have more speculative specialist currency overlay operations, which manage clients' currency exposures with the aim of generating profits as well as limiting risk. Whilst the number of this type of specialist firms is quite small, many have a large value of assets under management (AUM), and hence can generate large trades.

[edit] Hedge funds
Hedge funds, such as George Soros's Quantum fund have gained a reputation for aggressive currency speculation since 1990. They control billions of dollars of equity and may borrow billions more, and thus may overwhelm intervention by central banks to support almost any currency, if the economic fundamentals are in the hedge funds' favor.

[edit] Retail forex brokers
Retail forex brokers or market makers handle a minute fraction of the total volume of the foreign exchange market. According to CNN, one retail broker estimates retail volume at $25–50 billion daily, which is about 2% of the whole market and it has been reported by the CFTC website that unexperienced investors may become targets of forex scams.